Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.567526 12.097929 13.786423 15.789878 18.105335 20.701000 23.836581
2025-09-21 8.431966 10.398801 12.745142 15.759331 19.541693 24.147732 30.207874
2025-09-28 7.097844 9.229002 11.917141 15.573660 20.444325 26.745872 35.576340
2025-10-05 6.421739 8.722841 11.762552 16.099298 22.172834 30.442761 42.670031
2025-10-12 5.864782 8.271742 11.580638 16.501035 23.699905 33.951750 49.844347
2025-10-19 5.467521 7.976110 11.550587 17.068565 25.468533 37.930269 58.106232
2025-10-26 4.866380 7.310532 10.903686 16.635141 25.669692 39.565479 62.946930
2025-11-02 4.413139 6.812073 10.442347 16.412205 26.134112 41.601861 68.590420
2025-11-09 4.034672 6.386882 10.043640 16.230661 26.618514 43.680380 74.488986
2025-11-16 3.698421 5.993743 9.652907 16.011241 26.997329 45.591530 80.274993
2025-11-23 3.384740 5.606820 9.233361 15.694337 27.162692 47.130093 85.537035
2025-11-30 3.288702 5.571819 9.389179 16.367903 29.106175 51.946737 97.312173
2025-12-07 3.112036 5.386804 9.278944 16.572247 30.246410 55.469387 107.144107
2025-12-14 2.913151 5.145317 9.048470 16.535080 30.932864 58.215325 115.787529
2025-12-21 2.710697 4.879422 8.750031 16.339607 31.290754 60.355334 123.441780
2025-12-28 2.632350 4.832673 8.844141 16.892772 33.152174 65.618885 138.212357
2026-01-04 2.541733 4.754628 8.871678 17.315587 34.789741 70.592859 152.970781
2026-01-11 2.478681 4.723156 8.983387 17.912948 36.839496 76.625583 170.821923
2026-01-18 2.296829 4.446058 8.595740 17.456736 36.626971 77.823029 177.790804
2026-01-25 2.155190 4.237546 8.326875 17.222093 36.864169 80.014890 187.347431
2026-02-01 2.029682 4.051842 8.089079 17.031023 37.175398 82.396311 197.646945
2026-02-08 1.910070 3.869185 7.843260 16.800099 37.372469 84.532052 207.599884
2026-02-15 1.789949 3.676631 7.562213 16.466598 37.300849 86.030131 216.119523